Technology foresight and roadmapping in the formulation of science, technology, and innovation strategies: Comparative lessons from Japan, South Korea, and Europe
Keywords:
science, technology and innovation strategies, technology foresight, technology roadmappingAbstract
In the era of globalisation and increasing technological competition, science, technology and innovation (STI) have become an important foundation for sustainable development. This research article approaches technology foresight and technology roadmapping in building STI strategies through a comparative analysis of the experiences of Japan, South Korea and Europe. The novelty of the study is to emphasise the integration of big data and artificial intelligence (AI) into technology foresight, which helps improve accuracy and provide useful information for policymakers. At the same time, the study affirms the importance of adjusting international practices to suit the cultural, economic and institutional context of Vietnam. The research results show that Japan’s focus on long-term sustainability, South Korea’s priority on rapid commercialisation and Europe’s emphasis on addressing global challenges, provide valuable lessons for building Vietnam’s STI roadmap. Consequently, the article proposes some lessons for Vietnam to build a more effective and flexible STI strategy to address current challenges and seize future opportunities.
Downloads
References
[1] A.L. Porter, R.J. Watts (2004), Technology Foresight for Innovation, Springer, pp.288-289, DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2003.11.004.
[2] B.R. Martin (2010), “Technology foresight in science policy: Retrospect and prospect”, International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy, 6(2), pp.142-172, DOI: 10.1080/09537329508524202.
[3] P. Bishop, A. Hines, T. Collins (2007), “The current state of scenario development: An overview of techniques”, Foresight, 9(1), pp.5-25, DOI: 10.1108/14636680710727516.
[4] H. Chen, R.H.L. Chiang, V.C. Storey (2020), “Business Intelligence and Analytics: From Big Data to Impactful Insights”, MIS Quarterly, 36(4), pp.1165-1188, DOI: 10.2307/41703503.
[5] L. Georghiou, J.C. Harper, M. Keenan, et al. (2008), The Handbook of Technology Foresight: Concepts and Practice, Edward Elgar Publishing.
[6] R. Phaal, C.J.P. Farrukh, D.R. Probert (2004), “Technology roadmapping - A planning framework for evolution and revolution”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 71(1), pp.5-26, DOI: 10.1016/S0040-1625(03)00072-6.
[7] M.L. Garcia, O.H. Bray (1997), Fundamentals of Technology Roadmapping, Sandia National Laboratories, DOI: 10.2172/471364.
[8] R.N. Kostoff, R.R. Schaller (2001), “Science and technology roadmaps”, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 48(2), pp.132-143, DOI: 10.1109/17.922473.
[9] D. Probert, M. Radnor (2003), “Technology roadmapping: Aligning technology with strategic goals”, Research-Technology Management, 46(2), pp.45-53, DOI: 10.1243/095440503322420115.
[10] R. Phaal, C.J.P. Farrukh, D.R. Probert (2010), Roadmapping for Strategy and Innovation: Aligning Technology and Markets in a Dynamic World, Cambridge: University of Cambridge Institute for Manufacturing, 252pp.
[11] R. Phaal, G. Muller (2009), “An architectural framework for roadmapping: Towards visual strategy”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 76(1), pp.39-49, DOI: 10.1016/j. techfore.2008.03.018.
[12] R. Popper, M. Keenan, I. Miles (2007), “Foresight for science, technology and innovation: How to use technology foresight to align with technology roadmaps”, Futures, 39(2), pp.123-136.
[13] T.J. Gordon, A. Pease (2006), “RT Delphi: An efficient, 'round-less' almost real-time Delphi method”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 73(4), pp.321-333, DOI: 10.1016/j. techfore.2005.09.005.
[14] K. Fukuda (2021), “Society 5.0: Aiming for a new human-centered society”, Japan Spotlight, 3, pp.47-50, DOI: 10.5430/mos.v5n4p26. [15] Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (2020), Energy White Paper, Tokyo: METI.
[16] J. Kim, J. Lee, Y. Park (2018), “Big data and technology foresight: A review”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 134, pp.1-15.
[17] S. Kim, Y. Han, M. Lee (2022), “Korea’s semiconductor industry: Challenges and opportunities”, International Journal of Technology and Innovation, 9(3), pp.45-58.
[18] European Patent Office (2020), Artificial Intelligence and Patents, EPO.
[19] International Energy Agency (2022), Renewables 2022: Analysis and Forecast to 2027, IEA, pp?.
[20] Thủ tướng Chính phủ (2022), Quyết định số 569/QĐ-TTg ngày 11/5/2022 Ban Hành Chiến Lược Phát Triển Khoa Học, Công Nghệ Và Đổi Mới Sáng Tạo Đến Năm 2030.
[21] Thủ tướng Chính phủ (2025), Quyết định số 1131/QĐ-TTg Ngày 12/6/2025 về Danh Mục Công Nghệ Chiến Lược Và Sản Phẩm Công Nghệ Chiến Lược.
[22] UNESCO (2021), Science Report: The Race Against Time for Smarter Development.
[23] OECD (2020), Innovation Policy in Southeast Asia.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).